Carney Boosts Lloyds Plan For £1.3bn TSB Float

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

The state-backed Lloyds Banking Group is this weekend considering increasing the price at which it sells shares in TSB, its high street subsidiary, amid strong demand from investors.

Sky News has learnt that Lloyds could announce early next week that it is revising the 220p-290p range for the flotation of TSB by raising the bottom end to approximately 240p.

Investment banking sources said Lloyds would make a decision after consulting its advisers during the next couple of days.

One insider said that the Mansion House address by Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, had bolstered sentiment among City investors for TSB shares, with further interest registered on Friday.

Mr Carney said it was conceivable that interest rates would rise from their historic low of 0.5% sooner than markets expected, implying that a rate hike could come before the end of this year.

That would potentially benefit TSB, the profitability of which is geared to interest rates to a greater degree than most of its high street rivals.

One insider said the City's assumptions about TSB's profitability, outlined in its prospectus last week, might need to be revised given the boost to margins on mortgages and current accounts which could result from an early rate rise.

At the 255p mid-point of the 220p-290p range announced last Monday, TSB would be valued at £1.275bn, roughly 15% below its book value of just over £1.5bn.

The expectation that shares in the UK's seventh-largest lender will be sold for less than its book value disappointed some City analysts.

Yet even at that level, Lloyds would still attract a price for TSB that is significantly higher than the £750m which the Co-operative Group planned to pay for the 631-branch network before a deal collapsed last year.

The prospectus revealed that TSB made an after-tax profit of £172m last year on revenue of £798m, although the earnings figure included a £105m tax gain.

Banking sources also said that approximately 60,000 retail investors had applied for shares, lured by the offer of free bonus stock.

That figure could increase significantly by Tuesday, when the window for retail applications closes.

Lloyds is selling between 25% and 27.5% of TSB in the flotation.

It is required to offload the remainder by the end of next year under a state aid deal agreed with Brussels following the bank's taxpayer bail-out in 2008.

Lloyds, which is being advised by Citi, JP Morgan, UBS, Investec, Royal Bank of Canada and Rothschild, declined to comment.

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Centrica Chief Laidlaw Rules Out BG Switch

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

Sam Laidlaw, the boss of Centrica, has ruled himself out of the running to take the top job at BG Group, the troubled FTSE 100 energy group.

Sky News has learnt that Mr Laidlaw, whose departure from the owner of British Gas is expected to be announced within weeks, has told friends that he is not interested in the BG role.

The vacancy at the helm of BG emerged in May, when Chris Finlayson was ousted after just a year in the job, following problems with key exploration projects and a string of profit warnings.

Mr Laidlaw, who has been Centrica's chief executive since 2006, was linked with the BG role in 2012, and was reported this weekend by one newspaper as having agreed to take the job.

However, insiders confirmed that Mr Laidlaw had had no serious discussions on either occasion with BG, which is now understood to have identified a preferred candidate to replace Mr Finlayson from outside the UK.

BG's new chief executive could be announced at around the time of its second-quarter results at the end of next month, said one.

By coincidence, Centrica's new boss is likely to be appointed at around the same time, with Iain Conn, a senior BP executive, involved in ongoing negotiations with the company.

Sky News revealed last month that one of the potential obstacles to Mr Conn's appointment as Centrica's new boss is his multimillion pound shareholding in BP, a significant proportion of which has yet to pay out.

BP's latest annual report shows that Mr Conn owns approximately £3m-worth of BP shares and has about £16m-worth of additional awards which are subject to performance criteria.

Mr Conn had also been sounded out about joining BG, but is not thought to be in talks about that role.

British Gas is often confused with BG Group, although the two are now entirely separate companies after being privatised by Margaret Thatcher in 1986.

Centrica plc was created in 1997 following a demerger from British Gas plc, which was then renamed BG.

BG now has a market value of just over £43bn, and is repeatedly touted as a takeover target for the likes of Exxon-Mobil, America's biggest energy group.

Centrica's market value stands at £16.45bn, with its shares having fallen by more than 12% during the last year as political heat on the major domestic energy suppliers has intensified.

BG and Centrica both declined to comment.

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Carney Boosts Lloyds Plan For £1.3bn TSB Float

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

The state-backed Lloyds Banking Group is this weekend considering increasing the price at which it sells shares in TSB, its high street subsidiary, amid strong demand from investors.

Sky News has learnt that Lloyds could announce early next week that it is revising the 220p-290p range for the flotation of TSB by raising the bottom end to approximately 240p.

Investment banking sources said Lloyds would make a decision after consulting its advisers during the next couple of days.

One insider said that the Mansion House address by Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, had bolstered sentiment among City investors for TSB shares, with further interest registered on Friday.

Mr Carney said it was conceivable that interest rates would rise from their historic low of 0.5% sooner than markets expected, implying that a rate hike could come before the end of this year.

That would potentially benefit TSB, the profitability of which is geared to interest rates to a greater degree than most of its high street rivals.

One insider said the City's assumptions about TSB's profitability, outlined in its prospectus last week, might need to be revised given the boost to margins on mortgages and current accounts which could result from an early rate rise.

At the 255p mid-point of the 220p-290p range announced last Monday, TSB would be valued at £1.275bn, roughly 15% below its book value of just over £1.5bn.

The expectation that shares in the UK's seventh-largest lender will be sold for less than its book value disappointed some City analysts.

Yet even at that level, Lloyds would still attract a price for TSB that is significantly higher than the £750m which the Co-operative Group planned to pay for the 631-branch network before a deal collapsed last year.

The prospectus revealed that TSB made an after-tax profit of £172m last year on revenue of £798m, although the earnings figure included a £105m tax gain.

Banking sources also said that approximately 60,000 retail investors had applied for shares, lured by the offer of free bonus stock.

That figure could increase significantly by Tuesday, when the window for retail applications closes.

Lloyds is selling between 25% and 27.5% of TSB in the flotation.

It is required to offload the remainder by the end of next year under a state aid deal agreed with Brussels following the bank's taxpayer bail-out in 2008.

Lloyds, which is being advised by Citi, JP Morgan, UBS, Investec, Royal Bank of Canada and Rothschild, declined to comment.

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Retailers Set Goals On World Cup Success

By Emma Birchley, Sky News Correspondent

England fans are not the only ones hoping the players can find the back of the net as their World Cup campaign finally gets under way.

Retailers too are banking on success.

The Centre for Retail Research has estimated that every time England scores - shops, restaurants and pubs will benefit to the tune of almost £200m.

At Sainsbury's, designers started working on the merchandise more than a year ago.

Corporate affairs director Alex Cole said: "The longer England stays in the tournament, the more excuse we have got for parties as a nation.

"But also the sun is really important so the sunnier it is the more likely we are to say, yes, we will have a BBQ and get some people round to watch the match with us."

The further in the competition England progress, the better for retailers

But it is not just sales of sausages and beer that soar. TVs are selling well. So too are souvenirs and sportswear.

Takeaway pizzas are expected to sell in their millions but many people will head straight from work to bars or restaurants to watch the matches.

Phil Collinson, manager at Rileys Sports Bar in central London, is expecting 30,000 fans to come through the doors during the tournament.

"It's our responsibility to make sure everyone from all the different nations has the chance to see the matches," he said. "It will be an incredible atmosphere and great to be part of."

Reaching the final 16 is expected to see the takings by retailers, bars and restaurants rise by more than £1.3bn while a place in the final would be worth almost £2.6bn to the economy.

Michael Jarman says success equals spending

With England taking on Italy in their first game, it can mean split loyalties if you are running an Italian business in the heart of London.

But while there is no surprise who Lorenzo Mariotti, manager of the restaurant Little Italy in Soho, wants to win, he knows the importance of the home nation staying in the competition.

"We really need both teams to play well and go (as) far as they can and hopefully meet in the semi-final or final," he said. "It will be the most great game of the World Cup."

Former footballer and city trader Michael Jarman says success in the tournament will see football fans out spending.

"You find the general morale and momentum of the UK consumer is going to be more upbeat, a bit more optimistic," he said.

"You then have the new football season starting. Naturally there will be a better feel-good factor."

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Carney Boosts Lloyds Plan For £1.3bn TSB Float

By Mark Kleinman, City Editor

The state-backed Lloyds Banking Group is this weekend considering increasing the price at which it sells shares in TSB, its high street subsidiary, amid strong demand from investors.

Sky News has learnt that Lloyds could announce early next week that it is revising the 220p-290p range for the flotation of TSB by raising the bottom end to approximately 240p.

Investment banking sources said Lloyds would make a decision after consulting its advisers during the next couple of days.

One insider said that the Mansion House address by Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, had bolstered sentiment among City investors for TSB shares, with further interest registered on Friday.

Mr Carney said it was conceivable that interest rates would rise from their historic low of 0.5% sooner than markets expected, implying that a rate hike could come before the end of this year.

That would potentially benefit TSB, the profitability of which is geared to interest rates to a greater degree than most of its high street rivals.

One insider said the City's assumptions about TSB's profitability, outlined in its prospectus last week, might need to be revised given the boost to margins on mortgages and current accounts which could result from an early rate rise.

At the 255p mid-point of the 220p-290p range announced last Monday, TSB would be valued at £1.275bn, roughly 15% below its book value of just over £1.5bn.

The expectation that shares in the UK's seventh-largest lender will be sold for less than its book value disappointed some City analysts.

Yet even at that level, Lloyds would still attract a price for TSB that is significantly higher than the £750m which the Co-operative Group planned to pay for the 631-branch network before a deal collapsed last year.

The prospectus revealed that TSB made an after-tax profit of £172m last year on revenue of £798m, although the earnings figure included a £105m tax gain.

Banking sources also said that approximately 60,000 retail investors had applied for shares, lured by the offer of free bonus stock.

That figure could increase significantly by Tuesday, when the window for retail applications closes.

Lloyds is selling between 25% and 27.5% of TSB in the flotation.

It is required to offload the remainder by the end of next year under a state aid deal agreed with Brussels following the bank's taxpayer bail-out in 2008.

Lloyds, which is being advised by Citi, JP Morgan, UBS, Investec, Royal Bank of Canada and Rothschild, declined to comment.

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Retailers Set Goals On World Cup Success

By Emma Birchley, Sky News Correspondent

England fans are not the only ones hoping the players can find the back of the net as their World Cup campaign finally gets under way.

Retailers too are banking on success.

The Centre for Retail Research has estimated that every time England scores - shops, restaurants and pubs will benefit to the tune of almost £200m.

At Sainsbury's, designers started working on the merchandise more than a year ago.

Corporate affairs director Alex Cole said: "The longer England stays in the tournament, the more excuse we have got for parties as a nation.

"But also the sun is really important so the sunnier it is the more likely we are to say, yes, we will have a BBQ and get some people round to watch the match with us."

The further in the competition England progress, the better for retailers

But it is not just sales of sausages and beer that soar. TVs are selling well. So too are souvenirs and sportswear.

Takeaway pizzas are expected to sell in their millions but many people will head straight from work to bars or restaurants to watch the matches.

Phil Collinson, manager at Rileys Sports Bar in central London, is expecting 30,000 fans to come through the doors during the tournament.

"It's our responsibility to make sure everyone from all the different nations has the chance to see the matches," he said. "It will be an incredible atmosphere and great to be part of."

Reaching the final 16 is expected to see the takings by retailers, bars and restaurants rise by more than £1.3bn while a place in the final would be worth almost £2.6bn to the economy.

Michael Jarman says success equals spending

With England taking on Italy in their first game, it can mean split loyalties if you are running an Italian business in the heart of London.

But while there is no surprise who Lorenzo Mariotti, manager of the restaurant Little Italy in Soho, wants to win, he knows the importance of the home nation staying in the competition.

"We really need both teams to play well and go (as) far as they can and hopefully meet in the semi-final or final," he said. "It will be the most great game of the World Cup."

Former footballer and city trader Michael Jarman says success in the tournament will see football fans out spending.

"You find the general morale and momentum of the UK consumer is going to be more upbeat, a bit more optimistic," he said.

"You then have the new football season starting. Naturally there will be a better feel-good factor."

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Carney Upstages Chancellor At Mansion House

George Osborne Acts To Curb Housing Bubble

Updated: 1:25am UK, Friday 13 June 2014

By Jon Craig, Chief Political Correspondent

Barely a few minutes into his Mansion House speech, George Osborne said: "So while I know this is my fifth speech to you as Chancellor, I hope it is not my last."

I'll bet he does!

But whether he's back this time next year addressing the bankers and City money men and women, or listening to Ed Balls make it, could depend on the success or not of the measures he announced in this year's speech.

He wouldn't admit it. But the Chancellor now appears to accept that the threat of a "housing bubble" in London and some other parts of the country is a potential problem.

He doesn't want interest rates to rise before next year's general election to curb house price inflation. We know that from no lesser source than Her Majesty the Queen last week.

"To strengthen the economy and provide stability and security, my ministers will continue to reduce the country's deficit, helping to ensure that mortgage and interest rates remain low," she said right at the outset of her speech at the State Opening of Parliament.

So instead, the Chancellor plans to give the Bank of England powers to curb big mortgages being offered to people who can't afford the repayments.

Excuse me, though. Aren't many of the big lenders doing that already? Some lenders are limiting loans to four times salary and scrapping loans of more than £500,000. There has been a clampdown on interest-only mortgages too.

But the price of an average house rose by £223 a day last month and by 16% over the past year. It's not as if Mr Osborne hasn't been warned.

For months, the Liberal Democrat Business Secretary Vince Cable has been warning about a "housing bubble". But until now he has been slapped down by the Tory Chancellor.

Not any more. Mr Osborne told his City audience: "If London prices were to continue growing at these rates that would be too fast for comfort."

In other words, the Chancellor now recognises what critics of his Help to Buy scheme have been telling him: there is a problem in the capital, particularly, and elsewhere.

It doesn't take a genius to work out why: demand massively outstrips supply. So Mr Osborne is proposing to relax planning laws on so-called "brownfield sites", while protecting the green belt in those Tory constituencies in the shires.

Relaxing planning laws? How many times have we heard that before from senior Conservative politicians? The "Nimbys" in the leafier parts of Britain have other ideas.

To tackle the supply and demand problem in the capital, the Chancellor is promising "new housing zones across London backed by new infrastructure". Thousands of new homes for London families is the promise. We've heard a lot about that before, too.

No wonder Ed Balls MP, Labour's Shadow Chancellor, said: "George Osborne is still failing to tackle the root cause of the housing crisis which is that we are not building enough homes to match rising demand.

"And the danger of the Chancellor's failure to act on housing supply is that we see a premature rise in interest rates to rein in the housing market which ends up hitting millions of families and businesses."

A rise in interest rates before the election? No chance, Mr Balls.

But despite Mr Osborne's attempts to cool the housing market to avoid a rate rise before voters go to the polls in May 2015, I predict the so-called "housing bubble" will lead to interest rates going up after the election.

Whoever it is delivering the Mansion House speech this time next year.

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Interest Rates May Rise 'Sooner Than Expected'

George Osborne Acts To Curb Housing Bubble

Updated: 1:25am UK, Friday 13 June 2014

By Jon Craig, Chief Political Correspondent

Barely a few minutes into his Mansion House speech, George Osborne said: "So while I know this is my fifth speech to you as Chancellor, I hope it is not my last."

I'll bet he does!

But whether he's back this time next year addressing the bankers and City money men and women, or listening to Ed Balls make it, could depend on the success or not of the measures he announced in this year's speech.

He wouldn't admit it. But the Chancellor now appears to accept that the threat of a "housing bubble" in London and some other parts of the country is a potential problem.

He doesn't want interest rates to rise before next year's general election to curb house price inflation. We know that from no lesser source than Her Majesty the Queen last week.

"To strengthen the economy and provide stability and security, my ministers will continue to reduce the country's deficit, helping to ensure that mortgage and interest rates remain low," she said right at the outset of her speech at the State Opening of Parliament.

So instead, the Chancellor plans to give the Bank of England powers to curb big mortgages being offered to people who can't afford the repayments.

Excuse me, though. Aren't many of the big lenders doing that already? Some lenders are limiting loans to four times salary and scrapping loans of more than £500,000. There has been a clampdown on interest-only mortgages too.

But the price of an average house rose by £223 a day last month and by 16% over the past year. It's not as if Mr Osborne hasn't been warned.

For months, the Liberal Democrat Business Secretary Vince Cable has been warning about a "housing bubble". But until now he has been slapped down by the Tory Chancellor.

Not any more. Mr Osborne told his City audience: "If London prices were to continue growing at these rates that would be too fast for comfort."

In other words, the Chancellor now recognises what critics of his Help to Buy scheme have been telling him: there is a problem in the capital, particularly, and elsewhere.

It doesn't take a genius to work out why: demand massively outstrips supply. So Mr Osborne is proposing to relax planning laws on so-called "brownfield sites", while protecting the green belt in those Tory constituencies in the shires.

Relaxing planning laws? How many times have we heard that before from senior Conservative politicians? The "Nimbys" in the leafier parts of Britain have other ideas.

To tackle the supply and demand problem in the capital, the Chancellor is promising "new housing zones across London backed by new infrastructure". Thousands of new homes for London families is the promise. We've heard a lot about that before, too.

No wonder Ed Balls MP, Labour's Shadow Chancellor, said: "George Osborne is still failing to tackle the root cause of the housing crisis which is that we are not building enough homes to match rising demand.

"And the danger of the Chancellor's failure to act on housing supply is that we see a premature rise in interest rates to rein in the housing market which ends up hitting millions of families and businesses."

A rise in interest rates before the election? No chance, Mr Balls.

But despite Mr Osborne's attempts to cool the housing market to avoid a rate rise before voters go to the polls in May 2015, I predict the so-called "housing bubble" will lead to interest rates going up after the election.

Whoever it is delivering the Mansion House speech this time next year.

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Qatar Corruption Claims: Coca-Cola 'Concerned'

By Ian King, Business Presenter, Sky News

The European boss of Coca-Cola says the firm is "concerned" about corruption claims within football's global governing body, Fifa.

James Quincey, President of Coca-Cola Europe, told Sky News: "We are a leading sponsor of the World Cup and we are concerned.

"Anything that detracts from the values of football, the values of the World Cup, the idea of fair play is of concern to us, yes absolutely."

Mr Quincey's comments are significant because Coca-Cola is one of Fifa's leading sponsors along with Adidas, Budweiser, Sony and Visa and, as such, a major provider of revenues to the organisation, contributing hundreds of millions of dollars to Fifa's coffers.

Fifa has been engulfed by criticism over the awarding of the 2022 World Cup to the tiny Gulf state of Qatar and allegations that bribes were paid by former Qatari football boss Mohamed Bin Hammam in order to secure the competition.

Fifa President Sepp Blatter is facing calls to step down

Earlier this week, Sepp Blatter, Fifa's under-fire president, dismissed these allegations and said they had been whipped up by a "racist" British media.

Yet this inflamed the situation and led to calls on Tuesday from a succession of European football chiefs for Mr Blatter to step down.

Mr Blatter, 78, is expected to announce on Thursday that he intends to stand for a fifth term as president despite promising last time he stood that he would step down at the end of his present term.

Asked whether Mr Blatter deserved another term, Mr Quincey said: "I think what we would say is let's focus on the investigation, let's make sure we have a great World Cup, it's starting imminently, and then it's up to the football associations to decide their future.

"I think building football on the values of football is very important to us."

Fifa has appointed a US attorney, Michael Garcia, to investigate the allegations and is expected to report back within months.

:: Ian King Live broadcasts from 6.30-7pm Monday to Thursday.

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Osborne To Crack Down On Money Markets

By Jon Craig, Chief Political Correspondent

New moves to clean up money markets and stamp out abuses like the Libor interest rate-fixing scandal are to be announced by George Osborne in his annual Mansion House speech later.

The Chancellor plans to bring in criminal sanctions with tough penalties for rigging financial markets and opt out of EU rules on market abuses because they are not tough enough, he claims.

Addressing the City's top bankers, investors, economists and analysts, Mr Osborne will vow to raise standards of conduct in the London's financial system by beefing up the regulatory and enforcement regime.

He will also launch a joint review by the Treasury, the Bank of England and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) into the way key wholesale financial markets operate.

In his speech, Mr Osborne will say strong and successful financial services that set the highest standards are an essential part of building a resilient economy.

"The integrity of the City matters to the economy of Britain," he is expected to say. "Markets here set the interest rates for people's mortgages, the exchange rates for our exports and holidays, and the commodity prices for the goods we buy.

Mr Osborne plans to get even tougher on market abuse

"I am going to deal with abuses, tackle the unacceptable behaviour of the few and ensure that markets are fair for the many who depend on them."

His pledges will include:

:: Extending legislation the Government put in place to regulate Libor to cover foreign exchange, fixed income and commodity markets, including bringing in new criminal sanctions;

:: Extending City banking rules to cover all banks that have a presence in the UK, bringing in foreign banks that have branches here;

:: Expanding the tough UK criminal regime for market abuse. As part of this, the UK will not opt in to EU rules, says Mr Osborne.

"Our own rules will be as strong or stronger than those of the EU, but will preserve flexibility to reflect specific circumstances in the UK's globally important financial sector," Mr Osborne will claim. He says the Government will consult on these steps in the Autumn.

Labour says the Chancellor's proposals are 'too litttle, too late'

The review of markets proposed by Mr Osborne comes at a time of serious allegations of misconduct in the financial markets, in foreign exchange, commodities and fixed income. The review will consider the scope of regulation, the role of industry standards and the need for additional resources, he says.

The review will run for 12 months and make recommendations for further action to strengthen the operation of fair and effective global financial markets, some of which may require international agreement, the Chancellor will say.

The review will be led by the Bank of England's new Deputy Governor for Markets and Banking, Minouche Shafik, with Martin Wheatley, Chief Executive Officer, FCA, and Charles Roxburgh, Director General Financial Services, HM Treasury as co-chairs.

A panel of market practitioners will also be appointed, to involve and reflect the views of the financial services industry in the Review. This panel will be chaired by Elizabeth Corley, CEO of Allianz Global Investors.

Dismissing the Chancellor's proposals, Cathy Jamieson MP, Labour's Shadow Financial Secretary to the Treasury, said: "This review is too little, too late. We pressed Ministers to regulate commodities markets and the full array of financial benchmarks back in 2012, but the Chancellor failed to act."

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